2018/02/20

「都合のいいデータだけ取捨選択する」ことは悪ではない。メモ的乱文。

「都合のいいデータだけ取捨選択する」を絶対悪のように言ってる人は、偽善者か実情を知らないか言葉足らず。

論文には、ほとんどの場合 "Discussion" という項目がある。過去の論文を引用したりしながら、結果の解釈などを試みる項目。関連論文を全て引用したら数千件・数万件になるので、論文を書いたことがある人ならこの「取捨選択」をしていることになる。Discussion は結論を導く重要な部分なので、これも「都合のいいデータを取捨選択する」ことになるのではないかと思う。

実験をするなら、ほとんどの場合で「予備実験」がある。「予備」っていうのも自分に都合のいい解釈で、他の人は「予備」だと思わないかもしれない。でも、予備実験の結果などはまず公開されることはない。

つまり「取捨選択」は科学の重要なプロセスの一つであり、これがない限り、科学的知見はゴミデータの山に埋もれてしまうだろう。

「自分はフェアに取捨選択をしていて、特定のバイアスはない」との主張も、主観にすぎない。他の人から見たら全然フェアでないかもしれない。

たぶん、私が科学の主観性を隠そうとする人を嫌いなのは、謙虚さを感じないからだ。むしろ「自分が客観」という傲慢さを感じる。この傲慢さは、むしろ科学の基本的な方法論と矛盾してしまう。

科学とは「私はこのデータをこう解釈します」という仮説を提唱し合うゲームであって、どこまでいっても主観の域を出ないものだと思う。単に、多くの人の主観にマッチした知見が「事実」として共有されていくに過ぎない。1億回再現された実験でも、1億1回目も同じ結果になるという保証はない。

科学の限界を知り、その中で「正しく」あろうとする態度が大事。ミスリーディングを目的とした意図的な取捨選択は糾弾されるべきだが、それは多くの人の「主観」から成る「事実」および「科学の方法論」から遠いところに着地しようとするからで、取捨選択自体が問題なのではない。

もちろん、データの捏造はまた別の話。


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Expensive Brian and the Airbnb crew, Normally I'm a fan of your service.

I paid consideration partly as a result of it was wacky information for the customarily doudy EMR business and partly on account of I
might met Ari Teman at a perform in NY the earlier Monday.

Ari Teman, an award-worthwhile comic, headliner and common at A-Record golf tools in New York City and
throughout the nation, will bring his routine to the Chabad Jewish Heart of NWBC on saturday, Dec.
After weeks of deliberation and the tally of greater than 600,000 online votes,
the Jewish Federations of North America has named its first Jewish Community Hero
— Teaneck native Ari Teman, the founding father of JCorps.


A panel of judges from exterior the federation system selected Teman for the
Jewish Federations' $25,000 Jewish Group Heroes prize after greater than 600,000 online votes have
been forged to whittle down an inventory of greater than four hundred nominees.

The joy of being throughout the heart of New York City within the present day.
It hasn't really mattered what the exact enterprise is or if there are any clients on the
time, as a result of the token prices are hovering on the dates of these ICO's.
Now he wakes up on New York time, about
5:00 a.m. in San Francisco, makes trades till the early afternoon, and
spends the remainder of the day checking individuals in, doing
laundry and cleaning residences for his next Airbnb firm.


I paid consideration partly as a result of it was wacky news for the
usually doudy EMR enterprise and partly as a result of I would met Ari Teman at a
perform in NY the earlier Monday. The Springfield native, whose
day job" occurs at night when he performs standup, can be the founding father of JCorps, a social and volunteer neighborhood for individuals ages 18-28. R & B additionally has a historical past on Long Island, significantly in areas near New York Metropolis. On top of that, Airbnb's Host Assure affords up to $1,000,000 for damages to your property. Ari Teman's discuss rounded out an annual Day of Service for Solomon Schechter Day Faculty of Essex and Union highschool college students.

Ari Teman, an award-profitable comedian, headliner and common at A-Guidelines golf equipment in New York Metropolis and across the nation, will ship his routine to the Chabad Jewish Middle of NWBC on saturday, Dec. Of raid or dwelling invasion on Ari Teman's house. After weeks of deliberation and larger than 600,000 votes, the Jewish Federations of North America has named its first Jewish Group Hero: Ari Teman. The Actual Deal featured our founder Ari Teman in its Feb 2018 cowl story on precise property tech disruptors. As a result of the incident on March sixteenth, Teman says AirBNB has been "responsive, and responded
nicely, after which this occurred." He says he is not legally allowed to talk about all the details, but Gawker initially reported that AirBNB wired him $23K (of which AirBNB is insured), despatched someone to vary his locks, and put him up in a lodge for numerous days.

Perhaps the group's greatest accomplishment in its brief history has been its capacity to convey folks collectively from all through the denominational spectrum to help the world's Orthodox day colleges in addition to its two Solomon Schechter faculties, which are affiliated with the Conservative motion. Teman was evicted from his home and says he turned briefly homeless. The Ledger lately spoke to Ari Teman about his comedy and his position as Jewish Community Hero. JCorps teams Jewish younger adults, ages 18-30 to volunteer of their cities,in teams of about 20 and at mega events - serving many desires We invented Social VolunteeringTMand all the time preserve it enjoyable and rewarding.

Nominees after 570,000 votes, for starting JCorps, the Jewish social volunteering network. Ari Teman - ?possibility=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=1947286 ( @ariteman ) is an award-profitable comedian who seems typically on TV and in A-record golf equipment across the country. New York metropolis has complicated laws ( an Airbnb can violate four or ore legal tips ) and unbelievable density requiring vital additional work by our machines and crew. Ari Teman's discuss rounded out an annual Day of Service for Solomon Schechter Day College of Essex and Union highschool school students. Ari Teman is a comic by commerce, however he is critical in the case of recruiting Jews for social service.

By not flying off the deal with or cursing, he maintained his credibility and communicated effectively: Within 24 hours, Airbnb wired him more than $23,000, modified the locks on his residence, and put him up in a lodge, all while a flurry of favorable press was circulating. The New York Put up caught up with every occasions on Monday: Teman went into additional aspect about his ordeal with Carter and the gang of virtually nude, overweight of us" he launched with him.
Over 15,000 listings on Airbnb - 55 % of the whole — are for full units, and solely eight % of
these prohibit leases to 30 days or extra, in response to knowledge Airbnb released in December The
rest, if rented, violate the town's A variety of Dwellings
Regulation.

Typically, when a undertaking tied to an ICO fails, the related tokens will plummet in worth.
He said that he's nonetheless nervous about being kicked out of the constructing, though not immediately:
"Issues with co-op boards and landlords do not move that fast and I can not discover an apartment in a single day." He acknowledges
that he has tried to make top-of-the-line of a foul state of
affairs by ultra-selling the story ; he's nonetheless "creeped out" being at his condominium,
nevertheless he's also been a visitor on dozens of radio and TV reveals (along with
information packages in Australia and Israel).

After weeks of deliberation and the tally of greater than 600,000 on-line votes, the Jewish Federations of North America has named
its first Jewish Group Hero — Teaneck native Ari Teman, the founding father of JCorps.
Ari Teman's discuss rounded out an annual Day of
Service for Solomon Schechter Day School of Essex and Union highschool faculty college students.
Fast-time period trip rental companies like Airbnb and VRBO.
Ari Teman is an award-profitable comedian who has appeared on MSNBC, BBC
and VH1 and is a favorite at a-record golf equipment,
schools and venues around the nation. Teman talked about he began the group
in 2007 on one factor of a late-night time whim about how
he would possibly meet more Jewish individuals.

It was then that I discovered about Ari - the comic, founder of
12Gurus, NYC night club A-lister and most not too long ago
the sufferer of "The Airbnb Controversy". After weeks of deliberation and more than 600,000 votes, the Jewish
Federations of North America has named its first Jewish
Group Hero: Ari Teman. Beneath the threat of monumental penalties, Airbnb,
HomeAway, FlipKey and others have jettisoned hosts who ignored the town's registration requirement
for short-time interval rentals. Yet the group has enlisted some 10,000 volunteers for space individuals service initiatives
in the United States, Canada, and Israel.

Like many who use the site, Ari Teman, 31, could have thought nothing of
it when he acquired a request from the apartment-sharing service to hire out
his luxurious New York Metropolis house in Chelsea.
Last 12 months, JCorps volunteers from a hundred and seventy faculties and 450 firms served 21,000 meals to hungry individuals.
000 votes, for beginning JCorps, the Jewish social volunteering community.
Braverman on the time of his deposition; and
transferring this motion to a venue outside of New York Metropolis
to ensure Dr. Each time I've seen him, he is making an attempt to run some rip-off to bilk people
out of cash for one of his charities”.

But the group has enlisted some 10,000 volunteers for local individuals service initiatives inside
the United States, Canada and Israel. Ari Teman went on to state
that he has lived and labored in New York Metropolis his complete life, but now he can not
uncover a secure place to name -cancels-flights-israel-fighting-gaza-article-1.1875741 home.
JCorps, the Jewish social volunteering community JCorps brings collectively Jewish volunteers between the ages of 18 and 28 to connect and contribute to their
communities. Ari Teman went on to state that he has lived
and labored in New York Metropolis his whole life, however now he can't discover a
gentle place to call dwelling.

He began JCorps in 2007 on one thing of a late-night time whim, he acknowledged, about how
he may meet extra Jewish individuals. TRNDNGNEWS
with Ari Teman brings you the week's biggest tales
in a prime-ten format with a few of NYC's prime comedians.
New York metropolis has superior authorized tips ( an Airbnb
can violate 4 or ore legal tips ) and incredible density requiring important
more work by our machines and crew. Ari Teman is an award-worthwhile comic, headliner and common at A-Document golf gear in New
York Metropolis and around the nation, simply currently seen on Vh1, and featured in Time Out NY.
As a guest of the White Home he knowledgeable one in all his
Obama jokes to President Obama and earned a presidential hug.


When a person renting entrepreneur Ari Teman's house used the place to host
a sex event, Teman determined to show the horrible expertise right right into a enterprise various.
Teman is a mission-pushed, engineer-led agency headquartered in New York City, with group throughout the USA, Tel Aviv, and Jap Europe.

I am the CEO of 12gurus, a premier, full-service design (media, environment,
and industrial design) company headquartered in New York City, with operations throughout the world.

In New York Metropolis, the owner should give you a written discover of termination giving 30 days uncover that you'll have to switch earlier
than the tip of the month.

I do not know what number of instances I've seen him attack different people without provocation and them cry that he is the sufferer because
he is operating a charity, he is a clear commedian, he's Jewish or another BS.
I am Jewish, and this guy is a complete shame.
Barely 200 individuals confirmed up for the primary day Ari and his
volunteers wanted to herd individuals into their seats
like cattle so the photographers could get shots of a seemingly full” theater.
Leases to 30 days or more, according to information Airbnb launched in December The
rest, if rented, violate town's Multiple Dwellings Legislation. Teman, a humorist in New York Metropolis, based JCorps,
motivating Jewish younger adults into volunteering in their native communities.


The Actual Deal featured our founder Ari Teman in its Feb 2018
Ari Teman cowl story on actual property tech disruptors.

I paid consideration partly on account of it was wacky info for
the normally doudy EMR business and partly as a result of I'd met
Ari Teman at a perform in NY the earlier Monday. JCorps has
already enlisted some 10,000 volunteers for native folks
service initiatives within the United States, Canada, and Israel — all
with just about no funds. Ari Teman is founding father of 12gurus:Charity and 12gurus:Health
conferences, founder of award-successful worldwide volunteer organization JCorps, creator of Efficient Gratitude, a certified NLP Coach Practitioner, an award-profitable comic,
award-successful designer and inventor, and TV persona.

Teman, a humorist in New York Metropolis, based JCorps, motivating Jewish younger adults into
volunteering of their local communities. The discharge” was actually mostly a self-promotional
piece for Ari and the convention (correctly, principally about Ari who you might not
notice is a Jewish Federations of North America's Jewish
Group Hero of the Yr). It really occurred to entrepreneur and
comic Ari Teman closing week when he rented his New York City condo through Airbnb
to a person who said he needed a spot for household to stay whereas on the town for a marriage.
The release” was really mostly a self-promotional piece for
Ari and the conference (effectively, principally about Ari who you might
not realize is a Jewish Federations of North America's Jewish Community Hero
of the Year). http://b9rbcforum.info/index.php?topic=289871.0

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bao giờ nên nhổ răng khôn?

- Khi việc mọc răng khôn gây nên các biến chứng đau, nhiễm trùng lặp đi tái
diễn , u nang, ảnh hưởng đến răng cạnh bên .


- Khi răng khôn chưa gây ra biến chứng, nhưng giữa răng khôn & răng cạnh bên có khe giắt thức ăn, dự báo
có khả năng sẽ bị đến răng kế bên . Nha sĩ rất có thể chỉ định nhổ răng khôn để chặn lại biến chứng

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bên cạnh , lâu ngày gây sâu răng & viêm nha
chu răng bên cạnh.

- Bản thân răng khôn có bệnh nha chu hoặc sâu răng lan rộng .


quá trình nhổ răng khôn

chàng trai 24 tuổi tử chiến do nhổ
răng khôn: Nguyên Nhân 1 cái răng lại gian truân đến vậy?

- Ảnh 4.
Để vô hiệu răng khôn, nha sĩ phải rạch một đường ở lợi, tiếp đó lấy phần xương chặn gốc răng rồi gắp từng phần chân răng ra.
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Đơn giản bởi hiếm có cơn đau răng nào khó
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Răng khôn là răng cối lớn thứ ba, nằm sâu nhất trong miệng, mọc trong độ tuổi từ 17 & 25.
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Sở dĩ gọi là răng khôn vì răng mọc trong
độ tuổi đã cứng cáp, con người đã khôn lớn & biết nhận thức.



Răng khôn mở ra gây đau đớn, nhiễm trùng, viêm,
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thậm chí còn , răng khôn mọc lệch hoàn toàn có thể
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mỗi khi răng khôn mọc, để giảm đau nhẹ, chúng
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tuy nhiên , đôi khi cơn đau do răng khôn hành hạ đến nỗi "ăn không ngon, ngủ không yên",
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Đơn giản bởi hiếm có cơn đau răng nào không dễ
chịu và "vật vã"như đau răng khôn hay nói một cách
khác là răng số 8, răng thừa, vì đây là 1 phần
cơ thể vô dụng nhất của con người.

Răng khôn là răng cối lớn thứ ba, nằm sâu
nhất trong miệng, mọc trong độ tuổi từ 17 & 25.
mỗi người thông thường sẽ có 4 răng khôn ở 4 phần hàm.


Sở dĩ gọi là răng khôn vì răng mọc trong độ
tuổi đã trưởng thành , con người đã khôn lớn và biết nhận thức.


Răng khôn xuất hiện gây đau đớn, nhiễm trùng, viêm,
các yếu tố về nướu & sâu răng. thậm chí còn , răng khôn mọc lệch
hoàn toàn có thể gây tổn thương đáng chú ý cho các răng kế
bên, cho dây thần kinh hoặc xương hàm.

mỗi khi răng khôn mọc, để giảm đau nhẹ, chúng ta cũng có thể sử
dụng nhiều chủng loại "thuốc giảm đau" bỗng nhiên như tỏi,
đinh hương, nước muối, lá bạc hà, dưa chuột...


tuy nhiên , nhiều lúc cơn đau do răng khôn hành hạ đến nỗi "ăn không ngon, ngủ không yên", ngay lập tức
bạn muốn nhổ chúng.

Nhưng mặc dù có ghét răng khôn đến đâu, bạn cũng tránh việc tự ra quyết định loại
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